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The Maple Leafs were expected to win against their longtime rivals, the Canadiens, but gamblers should not be put off by this.
Josh Anderson instills optimism in the Montreal Canadiens fanbase, as our expert selections emphasize.
Today is an excellent day for Toronto Maple Leaf supporters, due to the procurement of Ryan O’Reilly and Noel Acciari.
An ideal opportunity to go against the likely winning Toronto Maple Leafs may present itself tonight since they’re playing against the Montreal Canadiens, who have been very successful in beating the Leafs.
The Habs have had success in four of the most recent five matches and both bouts on their home court in the current year.
Are there profits to be made by betting on the underdogs, given the Toronto Maple Leafs have had to shift their lines and start their 3rd string goaltender?
Maple Leafs
Discover my leading NHL selections and estimations for the Canadiens versus Maple Leafs game.
The Maple Leafs will play on Saturday, February 18th.
Despite what probability indicates, the Canadiens give the Maple Leafs a hard time.
Toronto has won only two of their past nine clashes, and even in those victories, the Buds have won by one goal.
Josh Anderson has netted a goal in each of the contests that Montreal have won this year.
Anderson has an impressive scoring record versus the Maple Leafs, recording six points in his last six matchups with them. In fact, more than 10% of his career goals have come against Toronto.
Anderson is only getting an average of 0.40 points per game this season, but is nonetheless being positioned on the principal line and on the first powerplay squad.
their defense is favorable
The potential for success is present, the battle against their defense is advantageous.
Joseph Woll’s prospects of victory look bright, and the possibility of his team managing just a draw should be considered a real bargain at the price of +155.
Anderson has been the top shooter since the winter vacation, averaging 2.6 shots per match and tied with the highest number of goals of 7.
Rookie linemate Rafael Harvey-Pinard is performing well, scoring seven goals in the last 11 games, while the power play has tallied up six goals during the team’s last five competitions.
Montreal has notched 16 goals in the four matches since the mid-season break.
There is no way to acquire an individual of Anderson’s caliber and the accompanying chance for the same cost.
I view this as about 50/50.
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The Leafs greatly improved their team right away with the acquisition of Ryan O’Reilly, who has won the Conn Smythe, as well as Noel Acciari, who will become a fan favorite.
Due to this transaction, the Leafs chances of victory on the moneyline increased from -425 to -450 making it the fourth consecutive matchup they were favored to win with a line of -250 or lower, and the third consecutive game with a line of -350 or lower.
If you wager on the Toronto Maple Leafs, you should be aware that taxes will be due on any payouts.
I’m content with the Montreal team having had difficulties facing this team over the past three years, so I’m willing to take a lower payout on the wagers I’m making tonight on them.
Toronto this season
Montreal has won both of their match-ups with Toronto this season.
The Leafs have had a successful season, prevailing in a couple of home games as the underdogs in January as +305 and October as +215.
When reflecting on the previous year, Montreal was victorious in two of the last three match-ups with outcomes of +230 and +330.
In the past nine matches, Montreal has a victorious record of seven wins to Toronto’s two wins, with each of Toronto’s two wins resulting from a one goal difference.
It’s not unusual for the Leafs to perform poorly against weaker teams.
the rest of the bunch
Toronto has a winning record against the other seven bad teams in hockey, with a record of 5-7 when measured in terms of single-unit (SU) betting. The teams Toronto has battled include Chicago, Columbus, Anaheim, Montreal, Arizona, Vancouver, and San Jose.
The fitness of main netminder Ilya Samsonov is being kept under wraps as he is unwell and cannot play tonight.
Carolina it is likely that Woll will start in net this Thursday.
Joseph Woll was the lone goaltender training yesterday, and with the backup’s display at the home game against Carolina a week ago, it’s probable that Woll will take the position in the crease this Thursday.
The Leafs won’t be an easy opponent tonight, even though the Blue Jackets allowed four goals on 40 shots. The odds are still against them.
It’s Hockey Night in Canada, and the Montreal Canadiens have experienced success recently after the All-Star break, winning three out of four. They hope to take the opportunity and ruin the Toronto Maple Leafs’ enthusiasm.
O’Reilly should get ready to play, but it appears unlikely that Accaiari will do so.
It would be wise to bet with plus money (130) on the reverse Puck Line (+1.5); however, the straight moneyline wager which offers +360 is a reliable bet.
The transfer of Samsonov to Woll is noteworthy here as the inexperienced goaltender has just five NHL games under his belt.
He didn’t perform well on Saturday, which was his sole start of 2021. He finished the game by allowing one goal more than the number of saves that was expected, even though 44 shots were made against him.
The Habs have declared Jake Allen to be the primary goaltender.
I would select Allen over Monembeault for an Over, even though Allen has not had much success recently with a 3.87 GAA and an abysmal .878 SV% in eight games since Christmas. This is despite the fact that Allen has a 22-save shutout against the Blackhawks.
The Toronto Maple Leafs have the potential to be the decisive team of the match, however, depending on the goaltenders involved, we may witness a similar event to last Saturday’s contest, where the Leafs had some powerful performances and then was inactive for significant periods.
I am in favor of the Over 6.5 being the outcome here, however, I would rather be backing one of the participating teams than taking the Under, since they have played to the Under in 15 of their last 22 clashes.
The Canadiens have won four out of the past five games against the Maple Leafs.
Credit: https://www.covers.com/nhl/canadiens-vs-maple-leafs-picks-predictions-february-18-2023
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