Boise State vs. Utah State prediction, odds, line: Week 13 college football picks, best bets from proven model

2 months ago CBS Sports

Bowl eligible Mountain West teams square off on Friday afternoon when the Utah State Aggies visit the Boise State Broncos for the regular season finale for both programs. Utah State is 6-5 overall after winning the last three games. Boise State is unbeaten at 7-0 in Mountain West play with an 8-3 overall record through 11 games. Utah State is 4-7 against the spread, while Boise State is 5-5-1 ATS in 2022. 

Kickoff is noon ET in Boise. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Broncos as 17-point home favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 51.5 in the latest Utah State vs. Boise State odds. Before making any Boise State vs. Utah State picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model has to say.

Friday's game can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. Boise State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Boise State vs. Utah state:

Utah State vs. Boise State spread: Boise State -17 Utah State vs. Boise State over/under: 51.5 points Utah State vs. Boise State money line: BSU -800, USU +550 USU: The Aggies are 4-3 against the spread in the last seven games BSU: The Broncos are 5-2 against the spread in the last seven games Utah State vs. Boise State: See picks at SportsLine Utah State vs. Boise State streaming: Paramount+

Why Utah State can cover

The Aggies have solid offensive metrics on their side. Utah State is in the top five of the Mountain West in total offense, generating more than 350 yards per game, and the Aggies are also averaging 162.1 rushing yards per contest. Calvin Tyler Jr. is the engine of the ground game, producing 978 rushing yards (No. 3 in Mountain West) and 128 receiving yards this season. On the outside, Brian Cobbs is No. 4 in the conference with 769 receiving yards, and he has 63 receptions this season. 

On the other side, Utah State is particularly stingy in passing defense. The Aggies are allowing only 196.5 passing yards per game, and opponents are averaging only 6.8 yards per pass attempt while completing only 53.1% of passes. Utah State has 11 interceptions and 22 sacks in 11 games, putting constant pressure on the opposition.

Why Boise State can cover

Boise State's defense is lights-out, setting a strong foundation for the team's overall success. The Broncos are allowing only 17.3 points per game this season, and Boise State is No. 2 in the Mountain West in total defense, yielding only 268.0 yards per game. Boise State has the best passing defense in the conference, giving up only 145.4 yards per game through the air, and opponents are completing only 49.8% of passes against the Broncos. 

Boise State has 11 interceptions and only nine touchdown passes allowed, with the Broncos also in the top tier of the Mountain West in giving up only 122.6 rushing yards and 3.5 yards per carry. Boise State has 25 sacks in 11 games, and Utah State has thrown more interceptions (16) on offense than any team in the Mountain West this season.

How to make Utah State vs. Boise State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, with each team deploying a rusher projected to generate more than 75 yards. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's CFB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Utah State vs. Boise State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Utah State vs. Boise State spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  
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